From: JW Najarian [mycampaign@bmesrv2.com]
Sent: Friday, September 14, 2007 5:46 PM
To: JW Najarian
Subject: Commercial Real Estate Newsletter - Pls. forward to a friend

Commercial RE Investor Newsletter

September 15, 2007 Brought to you by JW Najarian Commercial Loan Consultant and Investor

In this issue

  • Cash-Strapped Home Builder Works to Avoid Going Under

  • Can REITs Tower Again Despite Recent Selloff?

  • Demand for Commercial Space Is Expected in Bakersfield

  • Samsung introduces flat-panel wireless TV

  • CRM What is it? Can it help me?

  • REAPING THE REWARDS

  • THE BIG COMEDOWN

  • Commercial Index Bucks the Residential Trend

  • Markets Take a Time Out: Transaction Slowdown Extends Into Fall

  • Is Retail Inextricably Tied to Housing?

  • Self Storage Strategies: Development opportunities dwindle

  • Wanted: Mixed-Use Experience

  • Banks Get Tough with Condo Projects

  • Defeasance Goes Discount

  • Time Is Not on Your Side

  • Telemarketers and Junk Mail

  • Email vs Spam - Webinar

  • INTERESTING LINKS

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EndeaVor Live Seminar
Featuring Rusty Fields


Register Today

(800) 304-0377
or online at

www.realestateendeavor.com

SORRY you must register by September 20th or you will not be able to get in.  Seating is limited and so you MUST register

Click Here for Complete_Flyer

 

Workshop Location:

 

 Anaheim Hilton
777 Convention Way
Anaheim, CA 92802

Saturday, September 29th
Jump Start 10am to 3:30pm


Cash-Strapped Home Builder Works to Avoid Going Under
From The Wall Street Journal Online By Dawn Wotapka and Kemba J. Dunham
Could Levitt Corp. be one of the first casualties among builders from the housing bust? The answer will partly depend on the success of the company's rights offering, which is under way.

Levitt, of Fort Lauderdale, Fla., played an important role in the history of the nation's home-building industry and was among the first companies to produce suburb an tract developments. The company has been ailing for years because of management missteps.

Now Levitt's future seems uncertain as it rushes to raise cash. Last month, the company reported a loss of $58.1 million, or $2.93 a share, in the second quarter, and analysts don't expect a profit anytime soon. While stock prices of all home builders have fallen sharply in the past year, Levitt's stock has been hit harder than others and has plummeted more than 80%, the weakest performance among the 37 companies in the Dow Jones U.S. home-construction stocks index. Levitt's shares were down 11 cents to $2.23 yesterday in 4 p.m. composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange.

To Read More: http://www.realestatejournal.com/indinvestor/20070907-wotapka.html


Can REITs Tower Again Despite Recent Selloff?
From The Wall Street Journal Online By Kemba J. Dunham
Judging by the sharp sell off of real-estate investmen t trusts in recent weeks, it is clear that some investors feel the good times have come to an end for these stocks.

Yet, some analysts and investors believe that the heavy selling was too extreme and that some REITs -- particularly those in the office and retail sectors -- could stage a comeback. Indeed, just as the residential housing slump has produced some steals for home buyers, the REIT selloff may similarly yield some good deals for stock-market investors.

For a bargain hunter, a smart shopping list could include Simon Property Group Inc., Kimco Realty Corp., Public Storage Inc. and SL Green Realty Corp., which have management teams with proven track records of boosting shareholder value and which will likely continue to benefit from strong economic fundamentals.

To Read More: http ://www.realestatejournal.com/reits/20070717-dunham.html


Demand for Commercial Space Is Expected in Bakersfield
From The Wall Street Journal Online By Maura Webber Sadovi
With soaring home prices and a booming population, the Bakersfield, Calif., region has drawn comparisons to a young Inland Empire -- the formerly agricultural region east of Los Angeles.

Inland Empire, anchored by such cities as San Bernardino and Riverside, has become a major warehouse distribution market for the West Coast in recent decades. Now some s ay it's Bakersfield's turn.

To Read More: http://www.realestatejournal.com/columnists_com/blueprint/20070208-blueprint.html


Samsung introduces flat-panel wireless TV
David Berlind talks to Samsung's senior manager for plasma TV marketing, Bill Dickey, about the company's new FPT 5084 50-inch wireless flat-panel TV. I like to mix it up and this is the future of flat screens.

See More: http://news.zdnet.com/2422-13568_22-156140.html


CRM What is it? Can it help me?
September 13, 2007, By JW Najarian
At one time good contact management systems like ACT or Goldmine helped the small to medium sized business track clients and helped us remember when to call them. Larger companies needed more horsepower to keep track of customers and sales so they turned to large Customer Relationship Management (CRM) programs. CRM was hard to implement and many companies had incredible horror stories, but nowadays larger companies cannot get along with out CRM. Has CRM come of age for smaller companies and will it or can it help the small business owner. There are many CRM companies large and small are going after the small to medium sized business owners. In this new age of online sales CRM may be the ticket for automating your sales, making email marketing work and keeping your clients happy.

Read More: www.prigen.net/articles/crm_article.html


CRM mashup
From small to large, from the enterprise to the mid-size organization, from on-demand to on premises with consolidations aplenty, there's a sea change going on in CRM.

Video Speaker: Dan Farber, editor in chief, ZDNet Length: 04:12

http://news.zdnet.com/2422-13569_22-155306.html


REAPING THE REWARDS
Sep 1, 2007 12:00 PM, By Jennifer Popovec
Jeffrey Packard, an assistant vice president with life insurance compa ny John Hancock, which does about $2 billion in commercial mortgage lending, has been waiting for this moment for four years. The rise of CMBS lenders has radically altered the scene. CMBS lenders have been driving the terms for all commercial real estate lenders. Life insurance companies — once a dominant player — have moved to the back seat.

Read More: http://retailtrafficmag.com/finance/lending/retail_commercial_mortgage_lending/


THE BIG COMEDOWN
Sep 1, 2007 12:00 PM, By Jennifer Popovec

The spreads between 10-year Treasuries and CMBS loans now jump more in a couple days than they did in whole years. Those 10-year, interest-only loans borrowers were getting? They vanished weeks ago. And conduit lenders are getting revamped underwriting standards handed down from on high every couple of days because the market is changing so fast. Borrowers, meanwhile, acutely aware of the tremors shaking the debt markets, are holding back and waiting to see where things settle. As a result, conduit lender activity dramatically diminished over the course of just a few weeks.

Read More: http://retailtrafficmag.com/finance/lending/retail_treasuries_cmbs_loans/


Commercial Index Bucks the Residential Trend
Commercial real estate sectors are benefiting from rises in industrial production, shipments of durable goods and wholesale trade according to NAR's latest Commercial Leading Indicator for Brokerage Activity. The index rose for the ninth consecutive time during the second quarter in spite of the slowing economy. "The rise in the index means net absorption of space in the industrial and office sectors is likely to expand over the next six to nine mon ths," Lawrence Yun, NAR's senior economist, said.

Read More: http://www.realtor.org/Research.nsf/pages/commleadingindicator


Markets Take a Time Out: Transaction Slowdown Extends Into Fall
By Randyl Drummer
The "August panic" that capped a summer of discontent in the financial markets may be over. But with cap rates rising and liquidity sluggish, transaction volume has slowed across the board from the dizzying pace earlier this year, and values appear to be dropping in some areas. Buyers are remaining on the fence longer and tenants are slower to negotiate leases, waiting for the dust to settle. "It's an interesting moment," said John Combs, principal with RiverRock Real Estate...

Read More: http://www.costar.com/News/Article.aspx?id=AF38C86C25E3FC5EDC19A93397877D26&ref=100


HUD Appropriations Funding for 2008
Current funding levels in the House and Senate versions of the appropriations bill for the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) for fiscal 2008, which begins next month.

Read More: http://www.housingfinance.com/ahf/articles/2007/sept/BILLS/HUD-APPROPRIATIONS-2008.htm


Is Retail Inextricably Tied to Housing?
By Matt Hudgins
Retail sales are resisting a historic tendency to follow drops in home prices and sales, but whether consumers maintain spending levels hinges on which way the economy goes from here, according to one economist.

"As it stands today, retail sales growth has held up better than the falling housing market would otherwise indicate," says Suzanne Mulv ee, senior real estate economist at Property & Portfolio Research. "For some reason retail sales haven't reacted to falling home prices yet. That's probably because we have very low unemployment today, so people aren't worried about losing their jobs."

Read More: http://www.nreionline.com/news/Retail_Tied_Housing/


Self Storage Strategies: Development opportunities dwindle
The great era of self storage development in the United States is over, and investors should focus on acquiring existing properties and squeezing every bit of upside out of them. Self storage construction activity is slowing down across the nation because it's tougher and tougher to find good dirt to build on. Instead, many investors are buying older facilities that are a little worn.

To Read More: http://nreionline.com/september_article1.html


Wanted: Mixed-Use Experience
Aug 1, 2007 12:00 PM By Ben Johnson
Despite the buzz surrounding new and proposed mixed-use projects, the product niche remains a fledgling and untested formula for long-term financial success.

Lenders increasingly are challenged in underwriting mixed-use projects because of ever-higher construction costs, changing market conditions and the built-in unknowns about how mixed uses ultimately will work together.
Read More: http://nreionline.com/property/mixed_use/real_estate_long_term_financial_success/


Banks Get Tough with Condo Projects

APARTMENT FINANCE TODAY • SEPTEMBER 2007By Bendix Anderson
Condo developers desperate for construction financing are taking what they can get.
Condominium developers are starving for construction financing as commercial banks focus on rental projects. With condominium markets soft and the capital markets in turmoil, the banks that still finance condominium development are demanding more equity and higher interest rate spreads—terms that desperate developers are happy to accept because they often have no oth er choice.

Read More: http://www.housingfinance.com/aft/articles/2007/sept/BANKS0907.htm


Defeasance Goes Discount
APARTMENT FINANCE TODAY • SEPTEMBER 2007 By Jerry Ascierto
“Defease at a discount” may soon become a common phrase.
Earlier this year, something u nusual started happening to multifamily borrowers with defeasance options. They were able to earn a profit on defeasance transactions after rates rose enough to give them the option of paying less for the collateral securities than the amount owed on the loans.

Read More: http://www.housingfinance.com/aft/articles/2007/sept/DEFEASANCE0907.htm


Time Is Not on Your Side
APARTMENT FINANCE TODAY • SEPTEMBER 2007 By Bendix Anderson
With prices headed down, the time to sell apartment properties is now.
Prices for apartment properties are as good as they are likely to get for the next year or more, making this a great time to sell. Despite chaos in the capital markets, buyers still abound for strong properties in high barrierto- entry markets and for Class B and C properties that can be renovated to raise their rents.

“If you’re thinking about a sale in the next one to three years, I’d think about it now,” said Mark Forrester, a partner in the Phoenix office of Hendricks & Partners, a real estate brokerage.

Read More: http://www.housingfinance.com/aft/articles/2007/sept/TIME0907.htm


Telemarketers and Junk Mail
By JW Najarian
Many of you have received the Andy Rooney rant on junk mail, junk email and telemarketer calls. He has some great tips for getting rid of telemarketers and junk mail, but according to Snopes.com, it turns out that the email that is floating around is FALSE. Andy Rooney did make comments about stuffing the return envelopes with junk mail and returning it to the company that sent it to you, but did not suggest any of the other methods attributed to him. I like the one where when a telemarketer calls you put them on hold and walk away till they hang up. That was brilliant, but there are other ways to stop the harassment. Go to Snopes www.snopes.com/politics/business/telemarket.asp to get their suggestions. This assumes you believe the company that is calling you is legit. I have asked several companies to take me off their list only to have them call me time and time again.

In the bogus Andy Rooney piece it is mentioned that when you get phone calls from a computer. You know the ones that are silent. These computers are looking for people to pick up to mark the number as goo d. Also to check what times the number is answered to find out when might be the best time to call you back and actually get you. The email suggests you hit the # key continuously to freak out the computer which will knock you off the list. I have searched everywhere and have not found evidence of this working.

I have used a wav file in the past on my messages to deter computer calls. I have used the disconnected phone tone at the heading of my message. This tells the computer that this is NOT a working number and takes you off the list. I have had great success in the past with this method, but will say that with today’s technology I would not guarantee the results. You can find the wav file I used at www.telephonetribute.com/signal_and_circuit_conditions.htm. There is a link to the file sit_disconnected.wav. I will record my new messages with this tone and let you know the results. FYI.. I never had anyone complain to me that there were strange tones on my phone. There are machines you can buy that add these tones to your phone.


Email vs Spam
I was on a webinar for the CRM article that was hosted by Infusion. It was EXCELLENT. If you are marketing using the web this is a MUST HEAR / SEE Webinar. They sent me the link to the replay of the live call I was on. Here it is.
www.gotomeeting.co m/en_US/island/webinar/provideEmail.tmpl?_sid=71159484%3A33CB573C62AC186&Action=rgoto&_sf=2


Interesting Links
RE Trends www.retrends.com/real_estate_trends_articles.asp?mode=articlearchive&view=byyear
Intuit Commercial Real Estate Software http://realestate.intuit.com/products/office/overview.asp


Thank You
I would like to thank the readers of this newsletter who have been so wonderful with their suggestions and help. Also I would like to thank everyone who has sent me such wonderful feedback on how much they like my newsletter. I work hard to find just the right stuff so it is great to hear. If you enjoy my newsletter, please pass this along to a friend or colleague. I would like to grow the quality and distribution of this newsletter.

Please do not forget that I am an investor looking for great commercial deals and that I am also a commercial lender. You can find our company at www.PathfinderCorp.net. I look forward to your business and will help in any way I can.


Kind Regards,
JW Najarian
818-353-9100

JW Najarian
Commercial RE Investor Newsletter
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